France
Farm Europe · CAP Budget Simulation Tool · v0.6
CAP 2028–2034 Budget Simulator
User Guidance
This tool allows policy analysts, negotiators and researchers to model the financial architecture of the Common Agricultural Policy under the new 2028–2034 programming framework, comparing projected national and EU-27 allocations against the current 2021–2027 CAP Strategic Plan (CSP) baseline. It also lets you observe the analysis at farm level — by country, farm type and economic size — visualising how the CAP budget and national CSPs affect individual farm incomes.
What this tool does
The CAP 2028–2034 Budget Simulator is a structured scenario-modelling platform designed to explore how the new agricultural programming framework — the National and Regional Partnership (NRP) Fund — might translate into concrete budgetary outcomes for each EU Member State and for the EU-27 as a whole.
The current CAP (2021–2027) is structured around national CAP Strategic Plans (CSPs), which organise agricultural spending into two pillars and around 14 distinct intervention types — from basic income support (BISS) and eco-schemes to agri-environment measures (ENVCLIM), area-specific payments (ANC), and investments. The new 2028–2034 framework restructures these into a unified single-fund architecture with approximately 15 NRP interventions, each mapped to a corresponding article in the new CAP Single Fund Regulation.
This tool lets you adjust both the macro-level EU post27 CAP budget envelope and the intervention-level allocations for each Member State, observe how they compare to the current period baseline, and analyse the results across income support, environmental, and investment dimensions — with full co-financing detail.
How to use the simulator
- 1Select a scenario from the three pre-configured options on the right panel, or switch to Manual to set your own EU-27 envelope.
- 2Set the macro parameters — the CAP ring-fenced budget, the Flexibility frontloading (MTR available to CAP), and the Rural target amount — using the sliders on the left. These cascade proportionally to all 27 Member States.
- 3Select a Member State from the country tabs at the top to drill into its NRP allocation. Each measure slider lets you re-allocate EU funds between the 15 NRP interventions, and in the Manual scenario you can click any allocation figure to type an exact amount.
- 4Adjust co-financing parameters to explore the impact of different national co-financing rates on total public expenditure.
- 5Switch to EU27 view to see the aggregated projection across all Member States, including the per-country comparison map and the aggregate line-item table. Important — in the Manual selection scenario the EU27 aggregate is only representative if you manually edit all 27 Member States: every country you do not open keeps the current default scenario, so you MUST modify each Member State individually to obtain a genuinely representative EU27 aggregate.
- 6Explore the four tabs at the bottom of the page: Detailed results table (the full line-item breakdown), Farm-level impact (projected income effects by country, farm type and economic size), Europe map (a choropleth comparing the variation across Member States) and Intervention mapping (the intervention-to-regulation crosswalk with climate/environment coefficients).
Key concepts & allocation logic
Two distinct allocation keys govern how EU-27 totals are distributed to Member States:
CAP keyApplied to the ring-fenced CAP budget. Based on historical CAP allocation shares per MS.
General keyApplied to MTR and Rural target amounts. Based on the general NRP Fund allocation formula.
Co-financingSecond-pillar equivalent interventions require minimum 30% national co-financing. The tool models both EU and total public expenditure.
Env. floorA minimum share of EU funds must go to environmental measures (EFF-schemes + ENVCLIM). This floor is enforced automatically.
Pre-configured scenarios
Three scenarios are available to provide immediate reference points for the negotiation:
EC Scenario · July 2025
The European Commission's proposal as published in July 2025 — the official negotiating starting point (293.7 B€ CAP ring-fence).
EC Amended Scenario
A modelled variant reflecting amendments proposed during inter-institutional negotiations, for comparative analysis.
Manual Selection
Full freedom to set any combination of CAP envelope, MTR and Rural target. Use this to test your own negotiating positions.
Video walkthrough
A short demonstration of the tool's main features and intended workflow:
If the video doesn't load, watch it on YouTube.
📚 Sources & regulatory references
Reg. (EU) 2021/2115↗
Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing rules on support for strategic plans to be drawn up by Member States under the common agricultural policy (CAP Strategic Plans Regulation) — the 2021–2027 CAP baseline framework underpinning all CSP data in this tool.
COM(2025) 560 final
2025/0241 (COD)↗ Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on support for strategic plans under the Common Agricultural Policy to be drawn up by Member States — the new 2028–2034 Single CAP Fund Regulation. Source for all NRP intervention articles (Art. 6–20, 39, 42, 46) used in the intervention mapping table.
2025/0241 (COD)↗ Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on support for strategic plans under the Common Agricultural Policy to be drawn up by Member States — the new 2028–2034 Single CAP Fund Regulation. Source for all NRP intervention articles (Art. 6–20, 39, 42, 46) used in the intervention mapping table.
COM(2025) 565 final
2025/0240 (COD)↗ Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing the European Fund for economic, social and territorial cohesion, agriculture and rural, fisheries and maritime, prosperity and security (NRP Fund Regulation) — the legislative source for the ring-fenced CAP envelope, MTR rules, flexibility provisions, and co-financing requirements (Art. 35(4)).
2025/0240 (COD)↗ Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing the European Fund for economic, social and territorial cohesion, agriculture and rural, fisheries and maritime, prosperity and security (NRP Fund Regulation) — the legislative source for the ring-fenced CAP envelope, MTR rules, flexibility provisions, and co-financing requirements (Art. 35(4)).
COM(2025) 545 final
2025/0545 (COD)↗ Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a budget expenditure tracking and performance framework and other horizontal rules for Union programmes and activities (Performance Framework Regulation) — source for the CCM, CCA and ENV tracking coefficients applied to each NRP intervention in the mapping table.
2025/0545 (COD)↗ Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a budget expenditure tracking and performance framework and other horizontal rules for Union programmes and activities (Performance Framework Regulation) — source for the CCM, CCA and ENV tracking coefficients applied to each NRP intervention in the mapping table.
COM(2025) 545 — Annex I↗
Annex I to the Performance Framework Regulation — the detailed list of intervention categories with their Climate Change Mitigation (CCM), Climate Change Adaptation (CCA), Environment (ENV) and Social (SOC) coefficients used to compute the environmental contribution tracking per NRP intervention.
MS CSP data (2021–27)↗
Member State CAP Strategic Plan financial tables — approved CSP allocations for all 27 Member States across the 14 current-period intervention categories, sourced from published European Commission CSP approval decisions and official MS plan documents. Used as the 2021–2027 baseline for all comparative analysis in this tool.
FSDN microeconomic data
(Farm Structure Survey)↗ European Commission Farm Structure and income Data Network — microeconomic farm-level data underpinning structural benchmarks and DABIS simulation parameters in the tool.
(Farm Structure Survey)↗ European Commission Farm Structure and income Data Network — microeconomic farm-level data underpinning structural benchmarks and DABIS simulation parameters in the tool.
EC factsheet — BISS
(Income support, 2023)↗ European Commission DG AGRI factsheet on Basic Income Support for Sustainability (BISS) — source for BISS per-hectare averages, MS CSP reserve rules, and payment entitlement data used in DABIS modelling.
(Income support, 2023)↗ European Commission DG AGRI factsheet on Basic Income Support for Sustainability (BISS) — source for BISS per-hectare averages, MS CSP reserve rules, and payment entitlement data used in DABIS modelling.
2021–27 CSP measures — current period baseline
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Click on a segment to see its details.
Total EU funds (2021–27)
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CSP baseline
1st Pillar
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CSP baseline
2nd Pillar
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CSP baseline
Co-financing total (2021–27)
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MACRO PARAMETERS
EU-27 CAP ring-fenced budget CAP allocation key293.700 B€
293.7 (EC Jul-25)339.2 (FE)387.7 (UVDL)419.2 (infl.)
Flexibility frontloading — EU-27 General Allocation key0.000 B€
Rural target budget — EU-27 General Allocation key0.000 B€
EU-27 CAP ring-fenced budget CAP allocation key
293.700 B€
FR share: —
Flexibility frontloading from 2028 (UVDL) General allocation key
0.000 B€
FR share: —
Rural target amount (UVDL) General allocation key
0.000 B€
FR share: —
Total budget available to the Member State
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CAP + MTR + Rural target (MS level)
Choose the scenario to be assessed
Co-financing rate30.0%
Efficiency-Scheme (Farm Europe)
100% EU-financed environmental measure designed to also encourage production
2028–34 NRP INTERVENTIONS — PROJECTED ALLOCATION
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Click on a segment to see its details.
Total EU funds (2028–34)
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projected allocation
1st Pillar
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non-co-financed
2nd Pillar
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co-financed EU funds
Co-financing total (2028–34)
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NRP 2028–34 INTERVENTION ALLOCATIONS
Refer to the intervention mapping table at the bottom of the page for more precision on interventions, allocations and environmental contribution coefficients.
Allocation Status:
Allocated: —
Available: —
Env. contribution: —
Weighted co-financing: —
Remainder status:
In balance
Co-financing status:
In balance
Unallocated remainder (ECO-Schemes + COOP have no 2028–34 equivalent)
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Mapping from the 2021–27 CAP two-pillar structure (first column) to the 2028–34 CAP Single Fund articles and Performance Framework interventions. Coefficients are CCM (climate mitigation), CCA (climate adaptation) and ENV (environment); the environmental contribution uses MAX(CCM, CCA, ENV) per intervention. Ring-fenced envelope and flexibility/MTR rules: NRP Fund Regulation COM(2025) 565 final · 2025/0240(COD).
| 2021–27 CSP measureReg. (EU) 2021/2115 | Int. n° | Performance Framework interventionCOM(2025) 545 final | 2028–34 Single Fund articleCOM(2025) 560 final · 2025/0241(COD) | CCM545 | CCA545 | ENV545 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS-YF & INSTAL | 1 | Promote generational renewal of farmers | Setting-up of young farmers (Art 14) · Generational renewal strategy (Art 15) · Starter pack (Art 16) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| BISS & CRISS | 2 | Targeted support to farmers income | Degressive area-based income support (Art 6) | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| CIS | 3 | Support to farmers in sectors in need — protein crops & mixtures with grass | Coupled income support (Art 11) | 100% | 40% | 40% |
| CIS | 4 | Support to farmers in sectors in need — grasses & other herbaceous forage | Coupled income support (Art 11) | 100% | 40% | 40% |
| CIS | 5 | Support to farmers in sectors in need — ruminants' livestock sectors | Coupled income support (Art 11) | 0% | 40% | 40% |
| CIS | 6 | Support to farmers in sectors in need — other sectors | Coupled income support (Art 11) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| COTTON | 7 | Support to farmers producing cotton | NRP — Payment for cotton (Art 39) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| POSEI | 8 | Outermost regions & Aegean islands — compensation of additional costs | NRP — POSEI (Art 46) & Aegean islands (Art 42) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| POSEI | 9 | Outermost regions & Aegean islands — support to local production | NRP — POSEI (Art 46) & Aegean islands (Art 42) | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| ANC | 10 | Support to farmers in mountain areas | Payment for natural/area-specific constraints (Art 8) | 40% | 40% | 100% |
| ANC | 11 | Support to farmers in areas with other natural constraints | Payment for natural/area-specific constraints (Art 8) | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| ENVCLIM | 12 | Environment & climate practices, incl. climate resilience | Agri-environmental & climate actions (Art 10) | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| ENVCLIM | 13 | Environment & climate transition, incl. climate resilience | Agri-environmental & climate actions (Art 10) | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| ASD | 14 | Support to comply with mandatory requirements | Support for disadvantages from mandatory requirements (Art 9) | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| INVEST | 15 | Green investments, incl. climate resilience | Support for investments for farmers & forest holders (Art 13) | 100% | 100% | 40% |
| INVEST | 16 | Investments in agriculture & forestry (other than green/animal) | Support for investments for farmers & forest holders (Art 13) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| INVEST | 17 | Investments to improve animal health, biosecurity & welfare | Support for investments for farmers & forest holders (Art 13) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| INVEST | 18 | Investments in basic services & small rural infrastructure | Maybe: Payment for small farmers (Art 7) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| SECTORAL | 19 | Setting-up of producer organisations | CMO — Support for interventions in certain sectors (Art 30–35) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| SECTORAL | 20 | Agricultural sectors implemented by producer organisations | CMO — Support for interventions in certain sectors (Art 30–35) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| SECTORAL | 21 | Support for beekeeping | CMO — Support for interventions in certain sectors (Art 30–35) | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| SECTORAL | 22 | Support for wine | CMO — Support for interventions in certain sectors (Art 30–35) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| KNOW | 25 | Agricultural advisory services | Agricultural knowledge & innovation systems / farm advisory (Art 20) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| RISK | 28 | Support to risk management measures, incl. climate resilience | Support for participation in risk management tools (Art 12) | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| RISK | 29 | Crisis payments to farmers & exceptional market measures | NRP — Crisis payments for farmers (Art 38) | 0% | 40% | 0% |
Detailed results table — loading…
Shift from macro to micro: pick a farm model (type × size) for the selected Member State and see how your 2028–34 scenario plays out at the level of a single farm, against the current CAP. Baseline data: FSDN 2023 (€/farm). Variations are driven by your Layer 2 budget choices for this country.
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Access available to Farm Europe Members and accredited persons only
The farm-level impact analysis is reserved for Farm Europe members. Please contact Farm Europe for access.
Live choropleth of the EU-27. All 27 Member States are coloured by your current simulation (2021–27 CSP baseline vs the 2028–34 scenario applied per country). Pick an indicator to drive the colours; hover or click a tile for its figures.
Hover or click a coloured country to see its figures.