CAP budget proposal 2021-2027: a total decrease of -8% in aid

CAP budget proposal 2021-2027  

A total decrease of – 8% (1st & 2nd pillar and recovery plan), 

With -31 billion € less: A proposal suggesting that the agricultural sectors

should only rely on themselves

 

Brussels, 27 May 2020

 

Commission President Ursula von der Leyen today presented her proposals for a revised EU budget for the period 2021-2027 and a recovery plan for the EU economy.

The sum of the announcements is substantial and requires a detailed analysis of the guidelines that the European Commission is proposing for European agriculture and the development of rural areas.

A week before, the same Commission adopted the Farm to Fork and Biodiversity Strategies stressing the importance of food security in the European Union and the central role of European farmers, while asking the co-legislators to endorse a set of new measures that would lead, with a constant CAP, to a reduction of at least 15% in European agricultural production and both an agricultural and rural decline.

To meet the challenges it has drawn, the Commission is today proposing a CAP 2021-2027 budget of 374.958 billion current euros and an allocation of € 16.483 billion for economic recovery. 

Is such a CAP budget up to the promises announced and the needs of the European agricultural and rural sectors?

First observation: with regard to the CAP budget (excluding the stimulus package), the Commission is simply maintaining its proposal of last February for a CAP budget barely spread out in current euros (maintaining the 1st pillar, a 6% decrease in the 2nd pillar), therefore a drastic decrease of 12% in constant euros, thus in real value for agricultural and rural economic actors.

Second observation: the addition of € 16.483 billion (economic recovery package) to the second pillar (rural development) – while it allows for an increasing total budget in current euros – is very far from offsetting the budget cuts made in constant euros.

In total, the Commission’s proposal of the CAP 2021-27 budget with the so-called “economic recovery” envelope amounts to 352.145 billion Euros 2018, compared to 383.6 billion Euros 2018 for the CAP 2014-2020.

The Commission is therefore proposing a severe cut of €31 billion in aid over the period, concentrated on the first pillar of the CAP.

This budget proposal does not offer any real prospect for an economic sector shaken by the crisis, whose ability to continue to produce and take care of rural areas is however vital, but on which the Commission plans to place additional constraints without ultimately giving it the capacity to invest massively in techniques and routes with dual economic and environmental performance.

In the end, less aid, more requirements and suggested constraints result in less income and capacity to invest in the future. The gap is obvious and not very credible.

Now, it is up to the European Council and the European Parliament to restore coherence and to give the European agricultural sectors the means to fulfill their mission of supplying the markets in quantity and quality and of sustainable management of our ecological heritage.

Release of THE FARM TO FORK & BIODIVERSITY STRATEGies

The European Commission has published today its Biodiversity Strategy for 2030 and its ‘Farm to Fork’ Strategy. In line with the Green Deal, these are presented as a roadmap for further initiatives on preserving and protecting biodiversity and on designing a fair, healthy and environmentally-friendly food system.

Farm Europe welcomes a strategical thinking on the future of agriculture and food systems for the EU. In fact, we believe that EU policies should contribute to further environmental protection and to fight climate change, and that has to be done hand-in-hand with furthering the economic situation of farmers and assuring food security.

These Commission Communications include positive elements, notably acknowledging the need to ensure food security, the fact that EU food is safe and of good quality, the difficult farmers’ economic situation, the need to ring-fencing eco-schemes, supporting digital farming and EU biomethane production, to name a few.

However, these two strategies leave open a number of questions about the overall coherence of what is proposed.

Last week, Commissioner Kyriakides stated that better data is needed to decide on identifying and quantifying such reduction targets. However, steep reductions on pesticides and fertilizers, and a forced decreased of agriculture land, are proposed. Making these proposals without providing an impact assessment seems incomprehensible.

Indeed, the Commission needs to demonstrate first that its proposals will not put an added burden to the already stretched farmer’s livelihoods nor result in a decrease of EU agricultural production, which would be far from the objective of increasing the European food security and enhancing growth in the EU and its rural areas.

Today, beyond the general orientations of food security, improvement of the environmental and economic sustainability of agricultural sectors and territories, it is therefore necessary to analyze the added value that the concrete measures proposed by these strategies could bring to the ‘European Union.

Right now, the combined two proposed strategies, if implemented as such, would result first and foremost in a reduction of 15% EU agricultural production and a sharp decline of EU food security.

In addition, the proposed restrictions for EU farmers appear in sharp contrast to the not strong enough stance on imports produced in harmful environmental conditions, where only labeling is considered. EU farmers will thus face an even less playing field, being obliged to adhere to costly stricter environmental conditions that their competitors are not subject to.

Last not least, some incoherencies in the strategies have to be addressed on the relationship between the Farm to Fork Strategy and the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and its reform.

As Vice-President Timmermans has stated, a high level of environmental protection and environmental policy integration can be combined with an equally high level of economic development and growth.

It is high time that the EU lives up to this statement, and makes sure that it becomes a reality.

 

–           –           –

  

First analysis of measures as proposed by the EC:

 

  • The proposed Strategies underline the need for innovative investments in EU agri-food systems while remaining unfortunately vague on the support which would be brought, without a word on the necessity to have a more efficient EU toolkit to better manage the volatile economic environment, to face climatic and markets risks and crisis. After the COVID-19 pandemic and its economic impact on the sector, the need of more risk and crisis management tools is obvious.
  • At the same time, they propose very precise restrictive measures to be implemented by 2030 on inputs use, on the share of agricultural land to be let unproductive (10% with a location to be decided by Members states -despite the environmental importance of ensuring homogenous presence of EFAs-) and on the share of EU agricultural land under organic farming (25%), while making a confusing link between the economic and environmental impact of agro-ecology and organic.
  • Concerning EU protein production, the wording needs to be more than empty wishes. The Commission should commit itself to propose concrete and efficient means and recognize that the only successful tool over the last decades to increase this production has been the development of EU sourced biofuels.

 

Concerning the link between the two proposed strategy and the CAP reform, there is a question mark on how would the Commission add-up reduction targets for Member States while taking into account their differences and farm realities? How would the Commission oblige Member States to revise targets if the Strategic Plans that were drawn in 2022 would have no legal basis to adhere to in order to set reduction targets for pesticides and fertilizers that would only be decided through a revision of the related directive starting in 2022?

This design also poses the problem of consistency between:

  • the CAP reform project which claims to entrust Member States with the task of defining 27 different CAP national strategies,
  • and the aim of the Commission to strengthen its power, to define guidelines for each member state and transform the requirements it proposes in these two strategies into conditions for the approval of national CAP strategic plans.

 

Informal Agri-Fisheries Council: call for a second package of exceptional market measures

Guided by Croatia’s Agriculture Minister Marija Vučković, delegations held an exchange of views on measures already taken to counteract the impact of the virus as well as possible future actions at national & European level. European Agriculture & Fisheries Ministers called on the European Commission to table a second package of exceptional market measures to mitigate the impact of COVID-19 on the agri-food & fisheries sectors. And they were splited on agri crisis reserve’s activation.

During the “informal” debate, a number of delegations – AT, LV, LT, LU, PL, CZ, SK, CY, PT, BG, FR, IT, BE, HU, RO & IE – said further financial resources were needed to activate private storage aid & other measures for sectors worst hit such as poultry, pigmeat, potatoes, wine, ornamental horticulture & veal (with the NL, IT, FR & BE particularly vociferous on the latter, backed by IE). Hungary’s State Secretary Zsolt Feldman also made a case for the extension of eligible products for PSA to UHT milk (plus poultry & pigmeat), while Cypriot Minister Costas Kadis referred specifically to the extension of CMO measures to other sectors such as pigmeat, poultry & eggs.

 

full note available on FE Members’ area 

Measures&impacts related to the Covid-19 crisis: EU must do more

At the urging of the European Parliament and the Ministers of the Member States, the European Commission announced on 22 April a package of exceptional measures to intervene on the markets, in addition to the technical and administrative measures adopted.

While the delegated acts for the application of these measures are being drawn up, the Agriculture Committee of the European Parliament, echoing the agricultural sectors most severely affected by the crisis, points out the inadequacy of the flexibilities granted and the 76 million euros released, and urges the European Commission to trigger the crisis reserve.

The ‘farm to fork’ and ‘biodiversity’ strategies are due to be presented on 20 May. But a postponement to 29 May appears to be on the horizon, while the proposal for a revised annual Pluri Financial Framework has been postponed to 13 May.

 

full note available on FE Members’ area 

Negotiations for the EU budget: the CAP budget cuts unchanged?

The month of April was marked by:

  • At the level of the European Parliament, MEPs reiterated their call for an increase in the Multiannual Financial Framework and ComAgri specifically expressed its opposition to any reduction in the CAP budget.
  • At the level of the European Commission, the submission of the revised MFF, including an Union recovery program, originally scheduled for May 6, has been postponed to May 13. The MFF itself seems to have left the CAP budget reduction proposals unchanged (see FE’s assessment of the EU recovery programme, email of 30 April).
  • Since then, the Commissioner has sought the support and guidance of a key Member of the European Parliament to intercede in favour of the CAP with the President of the Commission in order to “substantially increase” the planned budget.

full note available on FE Members’ area 

CORONAVIRUS AND THE AGRIFOOD SECTOR. TAKING SOME DISTANCE

In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, it is difficult to focus on anything else than crisis management. Member States, European Institutions, Trade Associations, are all struggling with urgent problems, and under those circumstances it is difficult to see the wood for the trees.

Maybe it´s too early to try to draw any firm conclusion on what the “new normal” will be – I personally do not share this trendy mantra: “if it is new, it is not normal”-, but I would like to share some ideas and contribute to fuel the debate for the recovery.

Here are some thoughts on what could or should happen in the next future concerning the agri-food sector.

First, and more than ever, we need a strong multilateral system. It is only under strain that we recognize the real value of what we have. International Institutions such as the World Trade Organization or the World Health Organization are key in this very critical situation, but they cannot enforce international rules and provide real coordination, whether they have been blocked or because they do not have enough power to do that.

We need strong and empowered international Institutions with clear and common rules, able to coordinate a concerted action in the next future. And in order to do that, two things -at least- are needed: willingness from the members, and political accountability and good governance from these institutions.

Second: welcome geopolitics.  One of von der Leyen´s idea is to push for a more geopolitical Union. And she is right. In Europe we tend to be somehow self-centred, but what happens around us needs more attention.

Often businessmen are more interested in things like ROI, EBITDA or – especially now – cash flow, and they tend to underestimate politics and especially international politics.

But they are learning; the Russian embargo or the trade war with the US are good examples of politics affecting business, and we can expect geopolitics to be even more important in the future. In the end it is war by other means – trade, finance, intellectual property, technology…- and all this is also crucial for the agri-food system.

Third, it is hard to see external trade as an escape valve in this crisis. In the last financial crisis, trade has been a strong support in the way out. We have reached unprecedented figures – in 2019, 151,2 billion € exports and 119,3 billion imports – but we face another kind of crisis.

DG Trade´s Chief Economist team estimates a contraction of 9, 2 % of EU exports of goods and services due to coronavirus, and – 8,8% in imports. Primary sector and services will be less damaged than the industry.

But, in this case, we will face a mix of fall in demand, nationalism, neo-protectionism and a weak WTO. The Commission has to face a real challenge, that needs swift reaction, determination – and a substantial export promotion effort.

Fourth, improve safety. Even if EFSA, FAO and WHO have stated that food is not a source or transmission route for coronavirus, safety and health will be the next obsession. Official controls will be revised, as well as hazard analysis and critical control points, crisis management and contingency plans…everything will be put under scrutiny and what is more important, seen through a wider perspective.

Fifth, value chains will be revised. The European Union has a trade surplus of 31,9 billion € that puts us high in the global exporters ranking; European agri-food imports are also quite substantive, and very important for our food chain, although it is not the same as for the automotive industry where global value chains define the production model.

Food value chains will be entirely revised in order to identify the very last supplier, and what is most important, to look for alternative closer to us.

Sixth, sustainability – with common sense. It is clear that the new sustainable model in which we were embarked has no turning back. Both Commission and Member States have declared that the Green Deal will be in the heart of the Recovery Plan, and we believe that it is the only way to look ahead. But facing an economic crisis, the EU can’t afford any mistake. Huge investments will be needed and the road is narrowed to conjugate more sustainability with economic recovery and growth. This means that impact analysis is a must. We should not put under extra stress the food chain – the most important value chain of European economy-, extra administrative burden and unproductive investments have to be avoided. Evidence and science (not opinion, neither ideologies) are especially important in these moments and should be the basis of political decisions.

Finally, rethinking subsidiarity and EU powers. Not living in the Brussels bubble has an advantage, you can see better how the whole system works. The COVID-19 crisis has shown that the functioning of the three levels – European, national, regional-  have been put under strain. In this sense, Europe is the solution, not the problem.

We cannot expect a perfect management of a health crisis at EU level when the Commission has only limited power in this critical issue: the Union has to be seen as a scenario, and Member States are the actors at the theatre…it is up to them to perform.  Maybe the next Conference on the Future of Europe is the occasion to rethink the model.

In the meantime, we should open up our minds, this COVID crisis has no precedent, so better think forward and out of the box.

 

By Horacio Gonzalez Aleman, Thoffood – Madrid – May 7, 2020.

Need breeding techniques: USDA’s report on NBT’s in the UK

This April have seen several studies, reports, interviews concerning new variety breeding technologies published.
From the US, the USDA released a report on biotechnology in the United Kingdom, saying that in the short term, the United Kingdom is unlikely to change its legislation, due to the proximity to the EU.

In addition, a study released in the Netherlands states that, if properly targeted, new genetic technologies and agroecology can reinforce each other to make agriculture more sustainable. In Norway, a survey of the Norwegian relationship with genetic editing shows that a majority of consumers are ready to use gene editing tools in agriculture if they provide social, economic and environmental benefits.

 

full note available on FE Members’ area

WINE SECTOR: EU exceptional measures to absolutely reinforced

Wine news continues to be marked in this April by the Covid-19 pandemic. Various associations, professional wine organizations (Italian, Spanish, French wine cooperatives, CEEV, EFOW) asked the European Union for help during this month of April following the Covid-19 pandemic.

At European level, the European Commission adopted a package of exceptional measures on the 22nd of April, notably to help the wine sector. On April 30, the Agriculture Commissioner acknowledged the inadequacy of the measures proposed during a meeting of the European Parliament’s Agricultural Committee, without, however, presenting new ones.

The European Commission is announcing declining figures for wine consumption in the coming months.

Finally, at the global level, according to the OIV, low volumes are expected for 2020 in the majority of the countries of the southern hemisphere, with the exception of South Africa and Uruguay, following initial estimates of production.

 

full note available on FE Members’ area 

THE US LAUNCHES A THIRD LAYER OF COVID-19 SUPPORT TO AGRICULTURE

Readers might think that they have already read about this, but the fact is that in the US a new layer of support to help agriculture cope with the Covid-19 crisis was launched this week. This support package is the third since the beginning of the crisis, so yes you have read about increased support in the US but you’ve not read about the latest.

This package consist of an additional $ 470 million for commodity purchases, financed by customs revenues. The biggest share goes to dairy products with a $ 120 million allocation. Potatoes, turkey, chicken, pork, come after in a long list that includes a variety of fruits and some fish products.

It is worth recapping how much support US farmers have had so far to cope with the Covid-19 crisis. First came an increase of the main support programmes war chest of $ 14 billion. Second a $ 19 billion package consisting of $ 16 billion direct payments and $ 3 billion commodity purchases. And latest the $ 470 million this week package. In total a staggering $ 33.47 billion, or slightly more than 30 billion euros.

In the EU? The specific Covid-19 support package is estimated worth a paltry 80 million euros.

Comparing per farmer and per hectare Covid-19 support in the US and in the EU, in euros, says it all:

  • US: 15 415 per farmer; 73 per hectare
  • EU: 8 per farmer;  5 per hectare