News have circulated that the UK-Australia Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is reaching the final legs of negotiation.

The UK would have offered full free access to its market, including in beef and sheep, with a phasing-out of quotas and tariffs for these two sectors in 15 years. It is also rumoured that the UK would accept to reduce the phasing-out to only 10 years.

Our British friends will excuse us, but this note will focus on the knock-on effects into the EU agriculture, and in particular the beef sector.

A 10 years phasing-out on all import restrictions will likely consist of initial quotas being gradually increased, till full liberalization. The impact will depend on the size of the quotas (and less significantly on the in-quota tariff rates); and on whether or not the out-of-quota tariffs will also be gradually reduced.

It should be noted that at a certain point in time it will become profitable for the Australians to export their beef out-of-the –quota to the UK, paying whatever will be the full tariff, as the volumes exported under the quota make the overall exports economically viable.

Thus, in a shorter period of time than the 10 years foreseen, the quantities of Australian beef sold in the UK market will be similar to those under full free trade.

What happens to our exports of beef to the UK? They will face dramatic competition from cheaper Australian cuts, and their UK market will shrink accordingly.

This is no minor effect, as the UK is the top destination for Irish beef exports, over 1 billion euros annually. Ireland will be faced with the losses in the UK market and the difficulties in finding other export markets outside the EU that could compensate for those losses.

Inevitably a good part of prior UK exports will land in continental Europe, competing with other EU producers in a stagnant market, under pressure from all sides ( F2F, methane emissions, recommended diets).

Farm Europe has warned since Brexit was voted by the UK that, even with a fully-fledged EU-UK FTA, the EU agri-food sector would lose market share in the UK as a result of the UK opening up its market to other countries. So this does not come as a surprise, but the negative impact is coming closer with a CAP reform process coming to an end without fully integrating this new major challenge for the years ahead.

As bad news rarely fly alone, the fact that the UK is willing to phase-out all import restrictions on beef to Australia will set the tone for the remaining UK FTAs under negotiation. Specifically, it will flow logically that the US will accept no less. Therefore what we are saying about the impact of Australian imports will be compounded by US exports in the future.

This note focus on the beef sector. But we also know that the UK is willing to enter the Trans-Pacific Partnership Free Trade Agreement (TPP). Other sectors, like dairy, poultry and sugar, would benefit from preferential access conditions to the UK market. Top world exporters are part of the TPP – New Zealand for dairy, just to give an example. And again, this would have a negative knock-on effect on our exports to the UK.

There is very little we in the EU can do about decisions that are made in the UK. The best way to absorb the shock is to become more competitive, to conquer more export markets, in other words to be very strong and resilient economically. However, what we are witnessing as proposals coming out of the European Commission has the opposite effect, piling up further restrictions and increasing producing costs. It is urgent to change course, and address environmental and other issues using science, and mobilizing technologies and resources to achieve our objectives without making us all poorer and ultimately more dependant on imports.`

On April 29^th the Commission published its study on the “Status of new genomic techniques under EU law and in light of the Court of Justice Ruling in case C/528-16” where it analyses the state of play of the debate on NBTs by interviewing Member States and stakeholders and concluding that the EU legislation on GMOs should undergone a revision process. In France, Agriculture minister reiterated once again his position on the need for a change in the EU legislation. At the same time, Austrian researchers have warned about the risks of simplification of the EU legal framework given the many unknown. A survey commissioned by Greens political group says that 86% of EU citizens want food containing GMOs to be labelled accordingly. 

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In the month of April 2021, Belgium, Spain, Italy, Romania, and France approved schemes to support the agri-food sector in coping with COVID-19 impacts.
In Denmark, a scheme for mink farmers was approved to support mink farmers and related businesses in the context of the coronavirus outbreak, which led to the culling of millions of minks last November. full note available on FE members’ area

In April 2021, issues of animal transport were discussed in meetings of the Committee of Inquiry on the Protection of Animals during Transport (ANIT). On April 15th, the AGRI and PETI Committee met for a Hearing on the “End the Cage Age” ECI, which sparked debates across Europe. On April 21st, Regulation 2016/429, the new Animal Health Law, covering transmissible animal disease came into force.
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April marked the turning point for the negotiations on some matters in the Strategic Plan regulation, notably on the eco-schemes. In fact, the Portuguese presidency proposed a compromise on the ring-fencing of funds under the first pillar that would include 22% during the learning period (2023-24) to be raised at 25% in 2025. During their meeting, Ministers seemed to generally support this idea (even if some delegations would stick to the initial Council position of 20%). Also, institutions might be closer to a definition of active farmer, given the Commissioner’s advancement of some indicators. However, Parliaments’ negotiators do not share this optimism.

In Germany, Länders have reached their common position for the future CAP.

The Commission published a study on the “Evaluation of the impact of the CAP on generational renewal, local development and jobs in rural areas” concluding that the CAP tools at disposals are unsuited for the purpose.

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March has seen many institutional meetings concerning the CAP negotiations that led, eventually, closer to a general agreement between Council and Parliament. In fact, EP Agricultural Commission discussed the advancement in trilogues, as did the Minsters, before the end-of-the-month “Super-trilogue” which resembled the negotiating teams of all three legislative files at once. The outcomes resulted in agreements on control system & indicators, deviation rate on convergence, sanctions on cross-compliance, performance assessment, and on the wine sector. Nevertheless, percentages of distribution of funds between pillars, capping, degressivity, the definition of eco-schemes, active, young, new, and small farmers, green architecture & social conditionality are some of the topics that co-legislators still have to agree upon.

In the meantime, the Commission published its guidelines on the support of the Organic farming sector: a roadmap that lays out the action the EU executive intends to implement in order to reach the Farm To Fork target of 25% of organic farming land in the Eu by 2030. Commissioner Wojciechowski, answering to a Council’s demand, assured that DG AGRI services are working on an Impact Assessment of the Green Deal’s impacts on the agri-food.

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While in the U.K (England) the debate on changing the legislation on gene editing has started, the U.S Department for Agriculture took some step further to loosen rules on genetically engineered animals. In the EU, the independent group on Ethics that advises the Commission’s executive, published its opinion on gene-editing, according to which an inclusive societal debate and international engagement towards global governance are needed; moreover, this technology could help attain the Farm to Fork targets.

full note available on FE Members’ area

The month of March 2021 was marked by the 4-month suspension of tariffs between the US and the EU, including products in the agri-food sector; further Brexit-implications for the livestock market and the fate of thousands of cattle on a livestock ship in Spain.
At European level, the AGRI Committee met on March 4th to discuss the implementation of the Animal Health Law and the Commission launched a consultation on allowing the use of insect protein and non-ruminant protein in poultry and pig feed.